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Polymarket stands by its choice to permit wagering on war as ‘invaluable’

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Polymarket stands by its choice to permit wagering on war as ‘invaluable’

Gambling permeates everything today, including human distress.

Gambling permeates everything today, including human distress.

Screenshot 2026-02-28 at 3.31.33 PM
Screenshot 2026-02-28 at 3.31.33 PM
Terrence O'Brien
serves as the Verge’s weekend editor and brings with him over 18 years of experience, including a decade as managing editor at Engadget.

Polymarket has been facilitating wagers on when the next US strike on Iran would occur. Naturally, following the actual occurrence and loss of life, the prediction betting market is experiencing some strain. This platform has previously been embroiled in controversy, including allegations of insider trading on the Super Bowl halftime show and the apprehension of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.

In a proclamation on its website, Polymarket justified its choice to permit betting on a potential war outbreak, asserting it was an “invaluable” news source and provider of insights, while also criticizing conventional media and Elon Musk’s X. The statement states:

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to leverage the collective wisdom to generate accurate, impartial forecasts for the most significant events in society. This capability is especially vital during distressing times like today. After engaging in conversation with those affected by the attacks, who had numerous inquiries, we found that prediction markets could supply them with the answers they sought in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

We have contacted Polymarket for further details regarding its guidelines on betting related to violence, suffering, war, and fatalities.

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