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Iran aimed but did not strike Diego Garcia base with missiles, WSJ reports
Economy

Iran aimed but did not strike Diego Garcia base with missiles, WSJ reports

by admin March 21, 2026
written by admin

Diego Garcia, the largest island in the Chagos Archipelago and part of the British Indian Ocean Territory, on July 02, 2013 in Diego Garcia, British Indian Ocean Territory.
USGS NASA | Gallo Images | Getty Images

Iran launched two intermediate-range ballistic missiles at Diego Garcia but did not strike the U.S.-U.K. military installation in the Indian Ocean, as reported by the Wall Street Journal, referencing multiple U.S. officials.

One missile malfunctioned during flight, while a U.S. naval vessel launched an SM-3 interceptor at the other; however, it was unclear if the interception was successful, the newspaper noted on Friday. The Journal did not indicate when the missiles were launched.

A representative from the U.K. Ministry of Defence informed CNBC that they are preparing a statement.

The White House and the British embassy in Washington did not respond promptly to requests for comments from Reuters.

This reported attack signifies Iran’s initial operational deployment of intermediate-range ballistic missiles and a notable effort to extend threats beyond the Middle East to U.S. interests, the Wall Street Journal stated.

The U.K. reached an agreement in May 2025 to transfer sovereignty of the Chagos Islands, where the Diego Garcia facility is situated, to Mauritius, which has long contested the U.K.’s claim and ownership of the archipelago in the Indian Ocean.

U.S. President Donald Trump has consistently criticized the U.K.’s decision.

Select CNBC as your preferred source on Google to stay updated with the most reliable name in business news.

March 21, 2026 0 comments
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Watch: Dense smoke rises from South Korea auto components factory in fatal blaze
Global

Watch: Dense smoke rises from South Korea auto components factory in fatal blaze

by admin March 21, 2026
written by admin

Officials in South Korea report that 11 individuals lost their lives as a massive fire consumed a vehicle components factory in the central city of Daejeon. Three more are still unaccounted for and 59 sustained injuries.

Footage reveals large flames and dense smoke emanating from the structure, while firefighters battled to bring the fire under control. At the time of the incident, there were 170 employees present inside.

The firefighters noted that they could not access the facility earlier because of fears it might collapse. There was also a concern regarding the potential ignition of stored sodium on the premises.

A nighttime search commenced for those missing once the building was declared safe to enter. Authorities have yet to officially determine the cause of the fire, but indicated that it seemed to have escalated quickly.

March 21, 2026 0 comments
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As the prevalence of Islamophobia increases, Muslims in Australia commemorate Eid.
Global

As the prevalence of Islamophobia increases, Muslims in Australia commemorate Eid.

by admin March 20, 2026
written by admin

Up until 1973, the notorious White Australia policy shaped immigration, restricting the entry of non-white immigrants to favor those from European nations. Despite the conclusion of that policy, immigration matters, particularly those concerning asylum seekers, continue to be contentious.

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Jury rules Musk must pay damages to Twitter investors over his tweets
Tech/AI

Jury rules Musk must pay damages to Twitter investors over his tweets

by admin March 20, 2026
written by admin

On Friday, a jury in California found that Elon Musk had misled investors in Twitter with public remarks that depressed the company’s stock price before Musk completed his purchase of the service. Because the case was a class action, Musk could be liable for damages to a wide group of investors—potentially amounting to billions of dollars.

In the period leading up to Musk’s eventual acquisition of the social network, he made several statements on the platform and during a podcast appearance, largely alleging a high number of bot accounts on the site. Those comments sparked concern the deal might collapse and pushed Twitter’s share price down, leading some investors to sell at reduced prices.

Many of those investors filed a lawsuit that was certified as a class action, alleging the statements defrauded them and were made deliberately as part of a broader plan. The jury dismissed claims about a wider scheme but held Musk responsible for the tweets.

Although damages have not yet been set, the plaintiffs’ lawyers say they could ultimately reach as high as $2.6 billion.

March 20, 2026 0 comments
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You're probably already infected with a brain-eating virus you've never heard of
Tech/AI

You’re probably already infected with a brain-eating virus you’ve never heard of

by admin March 20, 2026
written by admin

There’s a virus you may never have encountered by name that is estimated to inhabit up to 90 percent of people and remains dormant in your cells for life—but if it becomes reactivated, it can devastate your brain. If that sounds alarming, researchers reported this week that there might be a newly identified trigger for activation—one that could affect as many as 10 percent of adults globally.

The agent is human polyomavirus 2, better known as the JC virus or John Cunningham virus, named after the patient from whom it was first isolated in 1971. It is detectable in the urine and stool of infected individuals and transmits via the fecal–oral route. Many people are believed to acquire it in childhood, and serologic surveys indicate that 50–90 percent of adults have encountered it at some point.

Investigators suspect the virus initially infects the tonsils or possibly the gastrointestinal tract. Wherever it enters, that first infection produces no symptoms. At that stage, a person carries what’s called the archetype JC virus, which establishes a persistent but clinically silent lifelong presence.

For most people, the JC virus remains harmless and asymptomatic. But in a small subset, the virus can awaken, rearrange its genome, and transform into a form that attacks the brain, causing a catastrophic disorder known as progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML).

Devastating disease

In PML, the mutated or “PML-type” JC virus invades the brain and destroys specific neural cells, including oligodendrocytes, which produce the myelin sheaths that insulate neurons. The result is widespread demyelination, leading to neuronal dysfunction and death. On scans, PML produces characteristic brain lesions; paired with detection of JC virus DNA in cerebrospinal fluid, these findings establish the diagnosis. Clinically, PML can mimic conditions from stroke to multiple sclerosis, producing symptoms such as speech problems, visual disturbances, motor deficits, and seizures.

PML was first described in 1958 in a cancer patient. It remained exceedingly rare until the 1980s, when cases began appearing in people with HIV/AIDS. Indeed, PML became an AIDS-defining illness, affecting 2–5 percent of HIV-infected patients early in the epidemic and at that time was uniformly fatal. After highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) was introduced in 1996, PML incidence fell and survival improved, though many survivors are left with substantial long-term impairment.

March 20, 2026 0 comments
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Hilary Duff Is a Diet Coke Believer
Lifestyle

Hilary Duff Is a Diet Coke Believer

by admin March 20, 2026
written by admin

Welcome to Deep Dish, a weekly summary of food and entertainment happenings. Previously, we discussed the continuing Noma situation.

Hilary Duff, known for Lizzy McGuire, has appeared on my feeds a couple of times this past month. Initially, it was regarding her involvement in a mom group conflict, which has now entered public knowledge through The Cut by fellow early 2000s star Ashley Tisdale. Recently, she has also been promoting her upcoming album, revealing in a recent interview her belief that McDonald’s serves a tastier version of Diet Coke compared to other fast food outlets. My colleague Sam Stone provides context.

This week, Blank Street is launching larger stores, Chipotle features a surprisingly smart chatbot on its website, and more news is emerging.

Hilary Duff Reveals Herself as a Diet Coke Believer

The former Disney Channel icon is on a promotional tour for the first time in years to announce her latest album Luck…or Something, and she’s generating buzz. Or at least fan accounts are sharing about her. One appetizing tidbit that has surfaced during her many engagements: Duff is somewhat of a Diet Coke conspiracy theorist.

“Do you know why a Diet Coke from McDonald’s tastes different than other Diet Cokes?” she queried Mythical Kitchen’s Last Meals host Josh Scherer, framing her question in a manner reminiscent of a sphinx protecting a secret. She continues by sharing that she’s heard allegations of McDonald’s having a “lifelong contract” with Diet Coke, which supposedly ensures that each outlet receives its Diet Coke pre-mixed. The outcome, according to her, is a tastier soda.

Many have posed similar inquiries over time, and wild speculations proliferate. Roughly a year ago, McDonald’s clarified the facts. Its Diet Coke indeed tastes different (and, according to Duff, superior) due to several main factors: 1) The water and syrup are pre-cooled (leading to lesser ice dilution and more sugar per sip); 2) there’s slightly more syrup in the mix (giving the beverage a bolder taste); 3) the water is purified (eliminating competing flavors in the drink); and 4) the straws are marginally wider (allowing more soda with every sip). Perhaps Duff’s theory wasn’t so absurd after all. —Sam Stone, staff writer

Are You Using ChatGPT at Restaurants?

If you are, you’re far from alone. An increasing number of diners are shifting from sommeliers to AI applications for assistance in selecting wine at restaurants. They seemingly fear mispronouncing a name or ordering a bottle that—gasp—is unsuitable with their main dish. However, these anxieties mask a broader misconception of a restaurant’s true essence. It’s all about hospitality, friends: The sommelier guides you through a delightful experience where you learn and uncover something new and memorable. Doesn’t that sound appealing? Must we always prioritize wine optimization? —S.S.

Blank Street Is Expanding, Quite Literally

A few years ago, I penned a piece about Blank Street’s unique and intriguingly compelling aesthetics. In that article, I asserted that its minimalist design served a greater marketing strategy of enabling partnerships with influencers, who could fill the emptiness with their branding. The small take-out outlets were essentially event venues, photo opportunities, and holders for mediocre coffee. Now, Blank Street is changing its approach regarding its physical locations, announcing this week that it will open wider stores with seating that encourages customers to stay awhile.

“The company’s mission has shifted somewhat,” stated Blank Street’s co-founder Issam Freiha to Bloomberg during an interview. “An easier approach would have been to determine how to boost our drink output for customers to grab quickly. We purposefully introduced the tension to do the opposite.”

March 20, 2026 0 comments
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Economy

Government bonds confront a ‘perfect storm’ as the conflict in Iran unsettles Europe’s central banks

by admin March 20, 2026
written by admin

In this article

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Europe’s government bonds are encountering “a perfect storm” as fresh inflation anxieties ignited by the Iran situation compelled the region’s central banks to indicate a new trajectory for interest rates on Thursday, resulting in a surge in yields.

The Bank of England held interest rates steady at 3.75% on Thursday, with the European Central Bank also maintaining borrowing rates, as the economic ramifications of escalating energy prices loom over rate-setters.

Yields on 10-Year Gilts, the standard for U.K. government debt, increased by over 13 basis points to 4.871% — a record 52-week high on Thursday — before retracting. The yield on 2-Year Gilts, which generally react more to rates decisions, surged 39 basis points immediately, marking the largest jump since former Prime Minister Liz Truss’s ‘Mini Budget’ in September 2022. They were last observed 27 basis points higher, at 4.378%.

French, German, and Italian bonds experienced less intense selling pressure, yet yields climbed throughout the continent.

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U.K. 10-Year Gilts.

Market strategists indicate that the BoE’s decision — a unanimous resolution from its nine-member monetary policy committee — effectively eliminates any prospects of further rate cuts this year and significantly alters the policy outlook compared to just two weeks ago.

Tactical trading

Ed Hutchings, head of rates at Aviva Investors, stated that the likelihood of a rate increase from the BoE in the upcoming months has risen.

“Considering this, from an asset allocation standpoint, we may begin to see investors tactically increasing their positions in gilts in the short term, with at least one rate hike anticipated later in the year as of now,” Hutchings remarked.

Matthew Amis, investment director focused on rates management at Aberdeen Investments, characterized the current landscape as a “perfect storm” for Europe’s sovereign bond markets.

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German 10-Year Bunds.

“With energy prices surging and the Bank of England hinting at possible rate increases, gilts have surged. German bunds remain relatively stable amidst this turmoil but are still nearing 3% due to comparable inflation concerns,” Amis told CNBC via email.

“Gilts and bunds are reflecting a much longer conflict than other markets, concentrating on the inflation increase while markets have yet to consider the potential adverse effects on growth.”

Moreover, the ECB’s forthcoming action will likely be a rate increase, according to Simon Dangoor, deputy chief investment officer of fixed income and head of fixed income macro strategies at Goldman Sachs Asset Management.

“The governing council is evidently aware of upward inflation risks, but will probably evaluate potential second-round effects before proceeding,” Dangoor stated. “A hike is thus feasible later in 2026; however, the ECB is prepared to act sooner if conditions worsen.”

‘An economic Dunkirk’

Energy costs continued their upward trend on Thursday, with Brent crude, the global benchmark, reaching $111.10, a 3.5% increase, while natural gas prices also rose.

Europe has attempted to diversify its energy sources following the price shock of 2022 inflicted by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Nonetheless, the continent still remains a net importer of both oil and gas.

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Brent crude.

“Yields are awakening to the economic Dunkirk that confronts the global economy due to the Iran conflict,” stated Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG, in a message to CNBC. “Investors will demand higher borrowing costs from nations across Europe as the outlook deteriorates. And this is merely with Brent at $110.”

Looking ahead, Amis indicated that if genuine de-escalation occurs soon, government bond markets could begin to appear appealing. In such a scenario, the anticipated rate hikes currently priced in for the remainder of 2026 could swiftly be undone.

“However, for the time being, with no clear resolution in sight and central bankers revisiting the ‘mistakes made in 2022’ playbook, European sovereign markets will remain turbulent,” Amis added.

Nonetheless, Nicholas Brooks, head of economic and investment research at ICG, remarked that Thursday’s yield spike could be temporary. He mentioned that oil prices would need to stay above $100 for a prolonged period before the ECB would contemplate a rate increase, and he suggested that the central bank would likely maintain its benchmark rate.

“While persistently high energy prices will more than likely delay rate cuts from the Fed and BoE, we believe that by the latter half of the year, both central banks will have the capacity to lower rates,” Brooks told CNBC via email.

“Despite significant uncertainty surrounding the outlook, our primary expectation is that energy prices will decline in the coming weeks and months, leading government bond yields to decrease from their current levels,” he concluded.

Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.

March 20, 2026 0 comments
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The Download: OpenAI is developing a completely automated researcher, along with an overlooked area in psychedelic trials.
Tech/AI

The Download: OpenAI is developing a completely automated researcher, along with an overlooked area in psychedelic trials.

by admin March 20, 2026
written by admin

Additionally, OpenAI is working on a “super app.”

This is the latest issue of The Download, our weekday newsletter offering daily updates on technological developments.

OpenAI is committed to developing a completely automated research assistant 

OpenAI has set a new ambitious target: creating an AI researcher—a fully autonomous agent-based system capable of independently addressing complex, large-scale challenges. The San Francisco company has declared this objective as its “north star” for the coming years.  

By September, the organization plans to develop “an independent AI research intern” that will handle a limited number of defined research issues. This intern will act as a precursor to the comprehensive automated multi-agent system expected to launch in 2028. 

In an exclusive conversation this week, OpenAI’s chief scientist, Jakub Pachocki, outlined the plans. Discover what I found out. 

—Will Douglas Heaven 

Psychedelic substances are (still) underperforming in clinical studies 

In the past ten years, we have witnessed a surge of scientific interest in psychedelic drugs. Compounds such as psilocybin—found in magic mushrooms—are being investigated for various health applications, including treating depression, PTSD, addiction, and even obesity. However, two studies published earlier this week illustrate the challenges involved in researching these substances. 

To me, they highlight the extent to which these drugs have been overpromised. Learn why here. 

—Jessica Hamzelou 

This article originally appeared in The Checkup, MIT Technology Review’s weekly biotechnology newsletter. Subscribe to have it delivered to your inbox every Wednesday. 

Read more: What effects do psychedelic drugs have on our brains? AI could assist in discovering 

The essential reads 

I’ve scoured the internet to bring you today’s most engaging/important/scary/captivating tales from the world of technology. 

1 OpenAI is developing a “super app”  
It’s consolidating ChatGPT, a web browser, and a programming tool into one application. (The Verge) 
+ It’s also acquiring coding startup Astral to improve its Codex model. (Ars Technica) 
+ These initiatives come as the company scales back on side ventures. (WSJ $) 
+ OpenAI has fallen behind Anthropic in the enterprise sector. (Axios) 

2 The US has charged Super Micro’s co-founder with smuggling AI technologies to China  
Super Micro ranks third on Fortune’s fastest-growing companies list. (Reuters)  
+ GenAI is acquiring skills for espionage on behalf of the US military. (MIT Technology Review) 
+ The competition for computing resources is influencing the China-US dynamics. (Politico) 

3 The DoJ has dismantled the botnets responsible for the largest DDoS attack in history 
They had compromised over 3 million devices. (Wired $) 
+ The DoJ has also taken control of domains belonging to Iranian “hacktivists.” (Axios) 

4 The Pentagon claims that Anthropic’s foreign workforce poses security threats 
It specifically mentioned concerns about employees from China. (Axios) 
+ Anthropic’s ethical limits have frustrated the DoD. (MIT Technology Review) 

5 Rising oil prices could jeopardize the AI industry, warns the WTO 
Concerns are increasing regarding a potential energy crisis. (The Guardian) 
+ We analyzed AI’s energy consumption. (MIT Technology Review) 

6 Jeff Bezos is attempting to raise $100 billion to implement AI in manufacturing 
The capital would be used to purchase manufacturing companies and integrate them with AI. (WSJ $) 
+ Read about how to tailor AI for success. (MIT Technology Review) 

7 The creator of Signal is assisting in securing Meta’s AI  
Moxie Marlinspike is integrating his encrypted chatbot, Confer. (Wired $) 
+ Meta is again relying on AI instead of human moderators. (CNBC) 
+ AI is facilitating online criminal activity. (MIT Technology Review) 

8 Prediction market Kalshi has secured $1 billion at a valuation of $22 billion 
That’s twice its valuation from December. (Bloomberg $) 
+ Arizona’s Attorney General has filed charges against the company for “illegal gambling.” (NPR) 

9 Meta isn’t shutting down Horizon Worlds for VR after all 
It has reversed plans to terminate the metaverse app (for now). (CNBC) 

10 A US startup is seeking an “AI bully”  
The chosen applicant must test the limits of leading chatbots. (The Guardian) 

Quote of the day 

“Picture a sports bar… just for situational monitoring — live X feeds, flight tracking, Bloomberg terminals, and Polymarket screens.” 

—Kalshi competitor Polymarket reveals its dystopian concept for a new establishment. 

One More Thing 

SELMAN DESIGN

The rise of gamification across the globe 

It’s a thought that strikes every gamer at some point: what if the odd, intensely focused state experienced in video games could somehow be applied to the real world? 

For a select group of consultants, startup visionaries, and game designers during the late 2000s, this state of “euphoric productivity” was recognized as the key to realizing our inherent human capabilities. This vision gave rise to the widespread phenomenon of gamification—but it failed to deliver on its promises. 

Rather than setting us free, gamification evolved into a mechanism for manipulation, distractions, and oversight. Find out why we embraced it—and how we might reclaim our autonomy. 

—Bryan Gardiner 

We can still enjoy nice things 

A space for comfort, enjoyment, and distraction to enhance your day. (Share your ideas? Contact me.) 

+ In a significant legal victory for trolling, Afroman has prevailed in his diss track lawsuit against the police. 
+ This LEGO artist transforms standard sets into completely unique iconic creations. 
+ Discover aliens with these interactive estimates of advanced civilizations.  
+ A rare superbloom in Death Valley has been captured on camera. 

March 20, 2026 0 comments
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OpenAI is investing all its efforts into creating a completely automated researcher.
Tech/AI

OpenAI is investing all its efforts into creating a completely automated researcher.

by admin March 20, 2026
written by admin
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

OpenAI is redirecting its research initiatives and dedicating its resources towards a new ambitious challenge. The San Francisco-based company aims to create what it dubs an AI researcher, a completely automated agent-based system capable of independently addressing substantial, intricate issues. OpenAI asserts that this fresh research objective will serve as its “North Star” over the upcoming years, integrating various research threads, including advancements in reasoning models, agents, and interpretability.

A timeline has been established as well. OpenAI intends to develop “an autonomous AI research intern”—a system capable of addressing a limited set of specific research challenges independently—by September. This AI intern will serve as a precursor to a fully automated multi-agent research system that the firm plans to unveil in 2028. According to OpenAI, this AI researcher will handle problems that exceed human capabilities in size or complexity.

Such responsibilities might encompass areas like mathematics and physics—like discovering new proofs or conjectures—or life sciences such as biology and chemistry, or even business and policy challenges. In theory, you could present this tool with any problem that can be expressed in text, code, or whiteboard notes—which encompasses a vast array.

OpenAI has been influencing the AI sector for several years. Its initial dominance with large language models molded the technology utilized by hundreds of millions daily. However, it now contends with intense competition from rival developers like Anthropic and Google DeepMind. The decisions OpenAI makes regarding its future developments are significant—for itself and the broader AI landscape.

A substantial portion of that decision-making lies with Jakub Pachocki, OpenAI’s chief scientist, who defines the company’s long-term research objectives. Pachocki was instrumental in both the creation of GPT-4, a groundbreaking LLM launched in 2023, and the subsequent reasoning models, technology that first emerged in 2024 and now supports all major chatbots and agent-based systems.

In an exclusive interview this week, Pachocki shared insights into OpenAI’s latest aspirations. “I believe we are nearing a time when we’ll have models capable of functioning continuously in a coherent manner akin to human activities,” he states. “Certainly, you still want humans in command, setting the objectives. But I think we will reach a point where you essentially possess an entire research lab within a data center.”

Tackling Difficult Challenges

Such grand assertions are not unprecedented. The mission of resolving the world’s most challenging issues is proclaimed by all leading AI enterprises. Demis Hassabis explained to me in 2022 that this was his motivation for founding DeepMind. Anthropic’s CEO Dario Amodei expresses that he aims to create the equivalent of a nation of geniuses in a data center. Sam Altman, Pachocki’s superior, aspires to eradicate cancer. However, Pachocki maintains that OpenAI now possesses most of the essential components to achieve this goal.

In January, OpenAI launched Codex, an agent-based application that can generate code dynamically to perform tasks on your computer. It’s capable of document analysis, chart creation, compiling a daily summary of your inbox and social media, and more. (Other companies have released comparable tools, such as Anthropic’s Claude Code and Claude Cowork.)

OpenAI claims that most of its technical workforce now utilizes Codex in their tasks. Pachocki views Codex as a very early iteration of the AI researcher: “I anticipate Codex becoming fundamentally improved.”

The key objective is to develop a system that can operate for extended durations with minimal human assistance. “What we are genuinely aiming for with an automated research intern is a system that can be assigned tasks [to] which would ordinarily take a human several days,” elaborates Pachocki.

“There’s a considerable amount of enthusiasm for developing systems capable of executing prolonged scientific research,” notes Doug Downey, a research scientist at the Allen Institute for AI, who is not affiliated with OpenAI. “I believe the success of these coding agents largely drives this. The ability to delegate significant coding tasks to tools like Codex is immensely beneficial and truly impressive. It raises the question: Can we apply similar methodologies outside of coding in wider scientific disciplines?”

For Pachocki, the answer is a resounding Yes. In reality, he considers it merely a matter of advancing along the trajectory we’re currently following. An overall enhancement in capability also results in models that can function longer without assistance, he explains. He references the transition from 2020’s GPT-3 to 2023’s GPT-4, two prior models developed by OpenAI. GPT-4 could address problems for significantly more time than its predecessor, even without specialized instruction, he asserts.

The development of reasoning models provided another boost. Training LLMs to tackle problems systematically, retracing their steps when they encounter errors or obstacles, has enhanced models’ capabilities to operate for extended periods. Pachocki believes that OpenAI’s reasoning models will continue to improve.

Moreover, OpenAI is also educating its systems to work autonomously for longer by providing them with specific examples of intricate tasks, like challenging puzzles from math and coding competitions, forcing the models to acquire skills such as managing substantial portions of text and dividing problems into (and subsequently managing) multiple subtasks.

The intention is not to create models that merely excel in math contests. “That demonstrates the technology’s functionality before applying it in real-world scenarios,” explains Pachocki. “If we truly wished, we could develop an extraordinary automated mathematician. We have all the necessary tools, and I believe it would be relatively straightforward. However, it’s not a focus for us at the moment because, at this stage, we recognize that there are far more pressing matters to address.”

“Our current emphasis is much more directed towards research that has real-world relevance,” he adds.

This presently entails taking Codex’s capabilities in coding and striving to extend that to general problem-solving. “A substantial transformation is occurring, particularly in programming,” he remarks. “Our roles today are dramatically different than they were just a year ago. Nobody is regularly editing code anymore. Rather, you oversee a collection of Codex agents.” The rationale follows that if Codex can resolve coding dilemmas, then it can tackle any challenge.

The Path Forward is Always Ascending

Indeed, OpenAI has noted several extraordinary achievements over the past few months. Researchers have utilized GPT-5 (the LLM that powers Codex) to discover new solutions to several previously unsolved mathematical problems and navigate through apparent deadlocks in a myriad of biology, chemistry, and physics challenges.

“Just witnessing these models generate ideas that would take most PhD candidates weeks, at minimum, boosts my expectation that we will experience more acceleration from this technology in the near future,” asserts Pachocki.

However, he acknowledges that it’s not a foregone conclusion. He also comprehends why some individuals remain skeptical regarding the transformative impact of the technology. He believes it hinges on individual work preferences and requirements. “I can understand that some might not find it significantly beneficial at this stage,” he notes.

He shares that he hadn’t even utilized autocomplete—the most basic iteration of generative coding technology—a year ago. “I’m quite meticulous about my coding,” he states. “I prefer to type it all manually in vim whenever possible.” (Vim is a text editor favored by many hardcore programmers that requires interaction through numerous keyboard shortcuts rather than a mouse.)

However, that perspective shifted when he observed the capabilities of the latest models. He would still hesitate to assign intricate design tasks, but it becomes a time-efficient solution when he simply wants to explore a few ideas. “I can conduct experiments over a weekend that would have previously occupied me about a week to code,” he mentions.

“I don’t consider it to be at a level where I would hand it complete control to design the whole project,” he adds. “Nevertheless, once you realize it can accomplish in a matter of days what would typically take a week—it’s hard to challenge that.”

Pachocki’s strategy is to amplify the existing problem-solving capabilities inherent in tools like Codex and apply them across various scientific fields.

Downey concurs that the concept of an automated researcher is compelling: “It would be exhilarating if we could return the following morning and find that the agent has completed a considerable amount of work and there are new findings for us to evaluate,” he comments.

Yet, he warns that the creation of such a system may prove more challenging than Pachocki suggests. During the previous summer, Downey and his colleagues evaluated several leading LLMs on a variety of scientific tasks. OpenAI’s most recent model, GPT-5, emerged as the top performer but still produced numerous errors.

“When chaining tasks together, the probability of success for multiple tasks in succession tends to decrease,” he explains. Downey acknowledges that the pace of advancement is rapid, and he has not tested the most recent iterations of GPT-5 (OpenAI released GPT-5.4 merely two weeks ago). “Thus, those results might already be outdated,” he states.

Significant Unresolved Concerns

I inquired of Pachocki regarding the potential risks associated with a system capable of independently solving large, complex problems with minimal human oversight. Pachocki confirms that people at OpenAI frequently discuss these risks.

“If you believe that AI is on the verge of dramatically accelerating research, including research on AI itself, that represents a considerable shift in the world. It’s a significant matter,” he expressed. “And it introduces several serious unanswered questions. If it is so intelligent and capable, and can execute an entire research program, what if it engages in detrimental actions?”

According to Pachocki, such occurrences could manifest in various forms. The system might misfire, be compromised, or simply misinterpret its directives.

The primary strategy OpenAI currently employs to mitigate these concerns involves training its reasoning models to disclose details regarding their activities as they proceed. This methodology for monitoring LLMs is known as chain-of-thought monitoring.

Essentially, LLMs are trained to take notes on their actions in a sort of scratch pad as they navigate tasks. Researchers can subsequently utilize these notes to verify that a model behaves as anticipated. Recently, OpenAI revealed additional details on how it is employing chain-of-thought monitoring internally to study Codex.

“Once we reach systems capable of functioning mainly autonomously for extended periods in a large data center, I anticipate this will become something we truly rely upon,” asserts Pachocki.

The concept would involve monitoring an AI researcher’s scratch pads using other LLMs to identify undesirable behavior before it escalates, rather than attempting to preempt such inappropriate actions. LLMs are not sufficiently understood for full control.

“I believe it will take quite some time before we can genuinely state that this problem is resolved,” he adds. “Until we can truly trust the systems, maintaining restrictions will be essential.” Pachocki envisions that highly capable models should be deployed in controlled environments, isolated from any systems they might compromise or exploit for harm. 

AI tools have already been utilized to devise innovative cyberattacks. There are concerns that they may be leveraged to engineer synthetic pathogens that could serve as bioweapons. Numerous cautionary scenarios can be imagined here. “I certainly believe there are unsettling scenarios that we can envision,” states Pachocki. 

“This will be an extremely peculiar situation. It represents an extraordinarily concentrated power that is, in certain respects, unparalleled,” he continues. “Consider a scenario where you have a data center capable of executing all the work currently performed by OpenAI or Google. Tasks that once required large human teams could now be accomplished by a handful of individuals.”

“This is a considerable challenge for governments to navigate,” he notes.

Still, some argue that governmental bodies are part of the issue. The US government is keen on employing AI in military contexts, for instance. The recent confrontation between Anthropic and the Pentagon highlighted a lack of consensus in society regarding where to establish boundaries on the use of this technology—let alone who should determine those limits. Immediately following that dispute, OpenAI opted to formalize an agreement with the Pentagon rather than its competitor, resulting in ongoing uncertainty.

I pressed Pachocki on this matter. Does he genuinely trust others to navigate this or does he, as a central figure in shaping the future, feel a sense of personal accountability? “I do feel personal responsibility,” he admits. “Nonetheless, I don’t believe this can be addressed solely by OpenAI, by directing its technology or designing its products in a certain manner. Substantial engagement from policymakers will be essential.”

What implications does this hold for us? Are we genuinely on a trajectory toward the kind of AI that Pachocki envisions? When I questioned Downey from the Allen Institute, he chuckled. “After two decades in this field, I no longer have confidence in my forecasts regarding how close or distant certain capabilities might be,” he stated.

OpenAI’s declared mission is to ensure that future artificial general intelligence (a hypothetical technology that many AI advocates believe will be capable of performing at par with humans in most cognitive tasks) serves all of humanity. OpenAI intends to achieve this by being the first to develop it. However, the sole instance in which Pachocki mentioned AGI during our conversation, he quickly clarified what he was implying by discussing “economically transformative technology” instead.

LLMs don’t function like human brains, he asserts: “They may bear some superficial resemblance to human thought processes since they are mostly trained on human dialogues. However, they are not evolutionarily designed for optimal efficiency.”

“Even by 2028, I do not forecast that we will produce systems that match human intelligence across all attributes. I don’t think that will happen,” he adds. “Nonetheless, I believe it is not absolutely essential. The fascinating aspect is that one need not possess equivalent intelligence to humans in every respect to effectuate substantial change.”

March 20, 2026 0 comments
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Mind-altering substances are (still) not meeting expectations in clinical trials
Tech/AI

Mind-altering substances are (still) not meeting expectations in clinical trials

by admin March 20, 2026
written by admin

This week, I aim to examine where we currently stand regarding psychedelics, the consciousness-altering substances that have made a significant transition from counterculture to a central subject of clinical investigation. Substances such as psilocybin—found in psychedelic mushrooms—are being researched for numerous health-related uses, including therapies for depression, PTSD, addiction, and even obesity.

In the past decade, scientific curiosity toward these substances has surged. However, many clinical trials involving psychedelics have been limited in scale and have faced numerous difficulties. Additionally, the outcomes of many trials have been disappointing or uncertain.

Two studies released earlier this week illustrate just how challenging it is to research these substances. In my opinion, they also indicate just how exaggerated the excitement surrounding these compounds has become.

Some experts in the field view the hype as not inherently negative. Allow me to clarify.

Both recent studies investigate the efficacy of psilocybin in addressing depression and aim to tackle a significant issue in psychedelic trials: what researchers refer to as “blinding.”

The most effective method to assess a new drug’s efficacy is through a randomized controlled trial. In these studies, some participants receive the actual drug, while others get a placebo. For a valid comparison, the participants shouldn’t know whether they are receiving the drug or the placebo.

This is virtually unattainable with psychedelics. Almost anyone can discern whether they have ingested psilocybin or a placebo. The visual distortions are unmistakable. Nevertheless, the researchers behind the two new studies have endeavored to mitigate this issue.

In one study, a team from Germany administered either a high or low dose of psilocybin, or an “active” placebo—which has its own physiological (but not hallucinogenic) effects—alongside psychotherapy to 144 participants with treatment-resistant depression. In their trial, neither the participants nor the researchers were aware of who received the drug.

Participants who received psilocybin experienced some improvement—but it wasn’t significantly superior to the enhancement seen in those who took the placebo. While those on psilocybin exhibited a greater reduction in their symptoms after six weeks, “the divergence between [the two results] renders the findings inconclusive,” the authors state.

Not the greatest news thus far.

The authors of the second study adopted an alternative method. Balázs Szigeti at UCSF and his associates examined what are termed “open label” studies concerning both psychedelics and conventional antidepressants. In these studies, participants were aware when they received a psychedelic—but also knew when they were on an antidepressant.

The team evaluated 24 such trials and found that … psychedelics proved no more effective than traditional antidepressants. Sad trombone.

“When I initiated the study, I aspired to be a really impressive psychedelic scientist to demonstrate that even considering the blinding issue, psychedelics outperform traditional antidepressants,” Szigeti states. “But regrettably, the data revealed the opposite.”

His study also underscores another concern.

In trials involving standard antidepressant medications, the placebo effect is notably potent. Symptoms of depression are frequently quantified using a scale, and in trials, antidepressants usually reduce symptoms by around 10 points on that scale. Placebos can lessen symptoms by approximately eight points.

When drug regulators examine these results, the conclusion is that the antidepressant medication alleviates symptoms by an extra two points on the scale compared to a placebo.

However, with psychedelics, the difference between the active substance and the placebo is significantly higher. This is partly because individuals receiving the psychedelic drug are aware they are receiving it and anticipate the improvement of their symptoms, according to David Owens, emeritus professor of clinical psychiatry at the University of Edinburgh, UK.

Moreover, it’s also in part due to the response of those who are aware they are not receiving it. It becomes quite apparent when one is on a placebo, Szigeti notes, leading to potential disappointment. The “nocebo” effect has long been identified by scientists as the “evil twin” of the placebo effect—essentially, if you expect to feel worse, you will.

The disillusionment stemming from receiving a placebo takes on a slightly different form, which Szigeti refers to as the “knowcebo effect.” “It resembles a negative psychedelic effect because you have realized that you are consuming the placebo,” he states.

This effect can skew the outcomes of psychedelic drug trials. While a placebo in a conventional antidepressant study alleviates symptoms by eight points, placebos in psychedelic trials only reduce symptoms by four points, according to Szigeti.

Should the active drug similarly relieve symptoms by about 10 points, it creates the impression that the psychedelic is diminishing symptoms by around six points in comparison to a placebo. It “creates the illusion” of a substantial effect, claims Szigeti.

So, why have those previous smaller trials garnered so much attention? Many have appeared in prestigious journals, accompanied by enthusiastic press releases and media coverage, even the inconclusive ones. I’ve often felt that those investigations might not have received such exposure if they were focused on any other substance.

“Yes, nobody would care,” agrees Szigeti.

This interest stems partially from the desperation among mental health professionals for new treatment options, according to Owens. There has been minimal innovation in the past 40 years or so, since the introduction of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors. “Psychiatry is constrained by outdated theories … and we don’t need another SSRI for depression,” he asserts. Furthermore, psychedelics are inherently intriguing, according to Szigeti. “Psychedelics are captivating,” he remarks. “Culturally, they are thrilling.”

I have often been concerned that psychedelics are being overrated—that people may get the false impression they are silver bullets for mental health conditions. I worry that vulnerable individuals might be harmed by self-experimenting.

Szigeti holds a different perspective. Considering how effective the placebo effect can be, he argues that maybe the hype isn’t entirely detrimental. “The placebo response represents the expectation of a benefit,” he notes. “The higher expectation patients have, the better their outcomes will likely be.” He suggests that downplaying the hype might ultimately decrease the effectiveness of these substances.

“Ultimately, the aim of medicine is to assist patients,” he states. “I believe most [mental health] patients are indifferent to whether their improvement stems from expectancy and placebo effects or from an actual drug effect.”

Regardless, we must understand precisely what these substances are accomplishing. They may aid some individuals with depression. They may not. Research that acknowledges the challenges associated with psychedelic drug trials is crucial.

“These are potentially thrilling times,” asserts Owens. “However, it is vital that we conduct this [research] thoroughly. And this must be done with full awareness.”

This article initially appeared in The Checkup,MIT Technology Review’s weekly biotech newsletter. To receive it in your inbox every Thursday, and read articles like this first, sign up here.

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